Although I have given up on trying to predict elections, all the polls are indicating that there could be tremendous upheaval in our state and federal elections tomorrow. We know there is a lot of voter discontent out there, but how that plays out at the ballot box is unclear. We did not see a throw the bums out mentality prevail in the primaries this past September, but general elections are different. Here, the involvement of multiple parties can cause havoc (unless you live in a one-trick town like the Bronx). So one day before we vote in NY State, we see a tie in the polls in the race for AG between Schneiderman and Donovan and in the race for Comptroller between DiNapoli and Wilson. The NY Times is reporting that the Democrats facing losing State Senate they won just two years ago. All polls are showing that the Gov's race is over with Cuomo holding a huge lead over Palladino. On the federal front, both US Senators also hold huge leads in the polls, but polls are showing many close house races that could upset the Democratic control of the House. It should be a fascinating night for any political junkie. What are your predictions?
Hopefully, those two Albany creatures named Thomas DiNapoli and Eric Schneiderman will loose to HARRY WILSON (Comptroller) and DAN DONOVAN (Attorney General).
ReplyDeleteMessrs. Wilson and Donovan are a breath of fresh air, and we need both of them as a change for the better.
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll predicts that Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives from Democrats in Tuesday's midterm elections.
ReplyDeleteThe national poll found that Americans plan to vote for Republicans over Democratic candidates by 50 percent to 44 percent. This is an edge that will likely give Republicans dozens of seats in the House and significant gains in the Senate.
The poll numbers suggest Republicans would win about 231 seats in the House to 204 for the Democrats, but Ipsos pollster Cliff Young said Democrats would retain control of the U.S. Senate with a 53-47 or 52-48 seat advantage.
Americans will choose all 435 members of the House on Tuesday and 37 members of the 100-seat Senate. Democrats currently hold significant majorities in both chambers.
even Dinowitz isn't as "safe" as he's been. In the past, he's been a lock. Now, with some foot in mouth and flipflopping on Espada and a testy opponent in McLaughlin, who knows.
ReplyDeleteNow will McLaughlin pull off an upset, not likely. But he will garner I say 40% of the vote which is more of a reflection of Bronxites who are homeowners and condo owners in Riverdale and especially Woodlawn where they are fed up being associated with the entitlement mentality of many fellow Bronxites combined with the assult of the same old politicians and mental constipation in getting anything done other than selling out to the highest bidder.
It takes a lout like Espada and be blatantly brazen in demeanor to get a statewide movement to flush out an incumbent. Mr. Cassino, Ollie Koeppell played it safe and still won 2 to 1, not necessarily any fault of your own, but because the voter base is jaded and apathetic and the only ones sticking their neck out are you and this republican McLaughlin.
Now I don't agree with McLaughlin in philosophy, but at least he tells you what is right from wrong. Hopefully Dinowitz takes this minor test as a lesson as to how to handle things in Albany.
Dinowitz just sent out robo-calls from his daughter. She asks voters to support her [lame and annoying] father.
ReplyDeleteIf Obama was able to learn from Bill Clinton's uncanny populist instincts, he would be virtually guaranteed a productive two-term presidency.
ReplyDeleteAccording to the latest poll reported on page one of today's New York Post, the comptroller and AG races are now dead even.
ReplyDeleteI think I just heard former front-runners DiNapoli and Schneiderman yelling "Oops I crapped my pants!"
All of the polling says that on Nov. 2nd the U.S. will swing from "YES, We can!" to "NO, YOU CAN'T!".
ReplyDeletePrediction? I imagine that the Republicans are poised for biggest gains in Congress in a century. And if the Democrats want to know where to place the blame, all they need to do is look in the mirror.
ReplyDeleteThe midterms are judgment day for O'Donnell and the Tea Party!
ReplyDeleteEven with a giant GOP victory, I predict that a health-care repeal is unlikely.
ReplyDeleteAssemblyman Jeffrey Dinowitz must be asking himself "Why did California vote down legal pot?"
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